Annapolis International Meeting
Negotiations and Final Settlement
Evaluation of Institutions and Leaders
Elections and Political Support
District-Related Issues
Publication Date: Sunday, 25 November 2007
Field work: 18-19 November 2007
Sample Size: 3200 Palestinians in The West Bank & Gaza
Margin of error: + 2
Main Results
- 63% support (or support to an extent) the convening of the Annapolis meeting
- 45% believe that the Annapolis meeting will not result in any tangible/positive results for the Palestinians
- 40% believe that nothing will change as a result of Annapolis, and 15% believe that it will reinforce the occupation
- 55% believe that if the meeting fails, the situation will further deteriorate
- 67% believe that the living conditions for the Palestinians deteriorated since the eruption of Al-Aqsa Intifada in 2000
- 95% say that the Jerusalem issue is very important, and 93% say that the prisoners issue is very important
- 72% support a final settlement of the conflict based on a two-state solution living side by side
- 60% oppose that Arab countries recognize Israel even if a Palestinian state were established
- 49% believe that Palestinian internal conflicts do not allow for a strong position in the negotiations
- 36% support the Arab Initiative as a framework for the negotiations, while 24% support related UN resolutions and 23% support the Road Map
- 48% evaluate the performance of Hanneyeh's cabinet as weak, compared with 26% feeling the same way about Fayyad's cabinet
- 36% blame Hamas for the latest Gaza clashes, and 7% blame Fateh
- 46% of Gazans blame Hamas for the clashes, while 9% blame Fateh
- If elections took place today, Fateh would receive 36% of the vote, compared with 14% for Hamas
- Fateh receives 43% of the Gaza vote, while Hamas receives 18%
- Abbas, Marwan Bargouthi, Fayyad or Mustafa Bargouthi are all capable of wining a presidential election over Hanneyeh
- Marwan Bargouthi would receive the highest vote (51%) against Hanneyeh (18%)
- The least favorite among all Fateh and Hamas candidates is Az-Zahar, who receives less than 1% of the vote
- In a two-way race between Dahalan and Zahhar in Gaza, Dahalan receives 41% of the vote, while Zahhar receives 20%
- Governors of Qalqilya, Nablus and Salfit get the best evaluations, whereas Governors of Jabalya, Rafah, and Gaza were on the bottom list.
- PLC members representing Qalqilya, Jericho and Salfit get the highest evaluations, whereas the representatives of Jabalya, Deir Balah and Khan Yunis governorates get the least favorable evaluations.
- Security is the most important priority for Nablus, Tulkarem and Gaza governorates.
- Hamas is least supported (less than 9%) in Nablus, Jerusalem, Tubas, Salfit, and Jenin, while it is more supported (25%) in Gaza. In Jabalya and Khan Yunis; Fateh gets the highest support (more than 48%), and the lowest in Jerusalem (22%).
For More Details, please see the following:
Analysis
Detailed Results
Districts’ Results
Sample Distribution
Arabic Reports
With support from the International Republican Institute (IRI) & Middle East Partnership Initiative (MEPI)