On September 30, 2024 AWRAD organized a virtual dissemination roundtable with Diplomatic missions, donor agencies and INGOs. The session aimed to disseminate our latest opinion poll (published September 8, 2024) with comparative findings from previous polls that were conducted since the start of hostilities in Gaza. AWRAD team presented and analyzed the findings noting the following key conclusions:
- The decline in support for October 7 attack is accompanied by a decline in the popularity of Hamas among Gaza Palestinians.
- The increasing gap between the West Bank and Gaza constituencies; something that AWRAD polling has noted for some time. Yet, the increasing gap is a reflection of the humanitarian conditions forcing a survivalist frame of reference in Gaza, compared to a more political/ideological view in the West Bank.
- The latest poll noted a diminishing support for peace process and two-sate solution in Gaza, compared to a very high support rate during our May poll. This is something that AWRAD will continue to monitor in future polling.
- Interest among the participants was in the area of support for Hamas (increase in the West Bank and decline in Gaza), where possible reasons for this decline were discussed. Those include the continuation and consolidation of occupation and settlements in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, forcing further disillusionment with a peace process and two-state solution, which is becoming an illusive objective. In Gaza, however, the concerns of those who were interviewed are real and reflect the extreme conditions on the ground resulting from the war, and their continuation with a declining hope for a ceasefire. In addition, AWRAD is looking into the potential inclusion and exclusion errors (reflected to some extent in the margin of error), where possibly tens or hundreds of thousands might have left the Stirp, or killed, or underground.
